H2H: Paris Saint-Germain vs Red Bull Leipzig – Prediction (Champions League

H2H: PSG v Leipzig – Comparison.

Ángel Di María was amongst the PSG scorers in their devastating 3-0 win over Leipzig back in August’s 2019/20 UCL semi-final. Four (44.44%) of his nine previous UCL first-half goals have been decisive openers. The aforementioned Forsberg scored the winner from the spot vs PSG on matchday three. That made it three goals from three penalties in the UCL proper, adding to a career penalty conversion rate of 88.89%. Three of Leipzig’s four UCL away matches drawn/lost have seen one team lead 1-0 after 15 minutes of play.

PSG Insights.

PSG have won nine (64.29%) of their last 14 UEFA Champions League (UCL) outings, with six (66.67%) of those victories yielding a margin of 2+ goals. However, they are battling against a first UCL group stage elimination since 2004, after two 2-1 defeats across three matchdays, both of which saw PSG concede a penalty goal. If excluding opposition penalty goals, four of PSG’s last five UCL home victories have seen them win the first half by a 2-0 scoreline. They form part of a sequence in which PSG have drawn just once in their last 14 UCL home games (W10, D1, L3).

Leipzig Insights.

Relevantly, RB Leipzig remain stuck on a draw rate of just 15.79% across their all-time UCL games (W10, D3, L6). However, it may be worth noting that two of those three stalemates came against French opposition, despite Leipzig scoring first on both occasions through Emil Forsberg. Excluding neutral venues, Leipzig are yet to score a second-half UCL away goal from open play vs another club from a top-five league, though their FT record from those games is positive (W2, D1, L1). However, their last two UCL away games drawn/lost have seen them concede an unanswered average of 2.50 second-half goals per match beyond the hour mark.