Ajax vs Heracles – Prediction (Eredivisie – 23.11.2019)

Preview and Teams Comparison.

It’s now 21 Eredivisie games unbeaten for Ajax, and of their 11 league wins this season, all but one have yielded a margin of 2+ goals. They boast a great record (W21, D2, L0) as an Eredivisie matchday home favourite since August 2018, and their last two home wins have seen them eradicate a -3 handicap before half-time. Donny van de Beek has averaged 1.5 first-half goals per-match across Ajax’s last two Eredivisie home wins. Ajax boast a 100% home league record spanning back to February (W14 – GF 58, GA 8). Of Ajax’s last 20 goals in that sequence, 25% arrived within the 76th-90th minute period, while Ajax’s goals inside the first 15 minutes of play within that group accounted for 20% of their tally scored.

Ajax have scored exactly four goals in each of their last four matches (W3, D1). The last three of those games saw Ajax net 75% of their goals inside the first half. Three of Heracles’ last four visits here have produced a goalless first half.

Heracles travel to the capital having taken just one away point from the last nine available. As such, each of Heracles’ last four Eredivisie away defeats have seen a losing margin of 2+ goals, with exactly one goal conceded beyond the 85th minute each time. Heracles midfielder Orestis Kiomourtzoglou’s equaliser (61-75’) at Feyenoord on Oct 20 accounts for his team’s last away point. The visitors’ league record as an away outsider since August 2018 reads: W3, D4, L10. Surprisingly though, last season’s corresponding visit here is amongst the draws, and though Heracles are winless away to Ajax since 1964, their last four visits here have seen a level half-time score.

Match Info and Live Scores.