H2H: AZ Alkmaar vs Emmen – Prediction (Eredivisie

H2H: Alkmaar v Emmen – Comparison.

Albert Gudmunsson has four goals across his last two competitive home matches for AZ. Veteran Marcel de Leeuw has seven goals across Emmen’s last seven competitive matches, making him the visitors’ best hope for a shock result. AZ have recorded a win-rate of 66.67% as Eredivisie home match favourites since the start of 2019/20.

Alkmaar Insights.

AZ Alkmaar have all the momentum, winning two league games in a row while overcoming a -2.5 handicap. Big favourites here, they’ve won their two most recent home matches (all competitions) by three goals, while each of the last three H2Hs against Emmen also saw them overcome a -2 handicap. Ultimately, any win here could well see a HT/FT double, as AZ have scored 14 and conceded just two before the break across their last nine league matches. Furthermore, the win against Heerenveen in the last round marked the fifth Eredivisie match in a row where AZ scored first and led at HT – and the second in a row where they converted that into a win.

Emmen Insights.

Emmen’s vulnerability to a HT/FT double loss is underlined by the fact that nine of their last 12 conceded goals to date have arrived in the first half. Sadly for them, they enter the round as one of just two teams without a win this Eredivisie season (D3, L5). Despite scoring more than eight other teams ahead of this weekend, the visitors have lost three in a row, and conceded 3.33 goals per match across those matches, adding further meaning to their recent habit of conceding in threes during H2Hs. Away from home, Emmen have taken a single point this season (D1, L3), but their woes on the road are nothing new, as they’ve played 17 Eredivisie away matches since their last win (D4, L13). Seven of the defeats were ‘to nil’, while they conceded 2+ goals in all 13 losses.