H2H: Stade Brestois vs Saint-Etienne – Prediction (Ligue 1

H2H: Brest vs St-Étienne – Comparison.

Romain Faivre has scored Brest’s opener with his three L1 strikes, twice before HT. His namesake Romain Hamouma has been St-Étienne’s opening scorer in both of his L1 scoring games. Eight of St-Étienne’s ten L1 games have seen a 1-0 HT scoreline either way.

Brest Insights.

Stuck in mid-table in Ligue 1 (L1), but nearly equidistant on points from the top-five (five points behind) and the bottom-three (four ahead), Stade Brest are one of just three sides yet to draw this league season. They have won four of their ten L1 games so far (W4, L6) and only once previously – back in 2010/11 – were they able to win more games at this stage (five). Scoring first could be vital to grabbing another victory, as Brest have a 66.67% success rate when netting the opener (W4, L2). That success rate increases to 100% at home, where Brest have won three of their last four L1 home games (L1), as many as in their previous nine combined (W3, D3, L3). Any victory could be a close affair though, as all three L1 home wins have come via a single-goal margin with Brest never falling behind in those matches.

PSG Insights.

St-Étienne have lost their last six L1 games (four ‘to nil’), which is not only the longest current run by any top-flight side, but also the second-longest such run in their history. Much like their hosts, conceding first has been St-Étienne’s nemesis this league season (L5), whilst conceding late has been equally worrisome, as 46.67% of their 15 L1 ‘goals against’ have arrived beyond the 70th minute. The visitors travel here winless in four L1 away matches (D1, L3), including losing the last three. Each of those four saw St-Étienne concede exactly twice, and late goals were a theme as five of their eight conceded goals during those road trips came beyond the 70th minute.