Spal vs. Napoli – Prediction (Serie A – 27.10.2019)

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Napoli have won each of their last 11 Serie A meetings against SPAL. This is the best winning run for them against a single opponent in the competition. Rooted in the relegation zone, Spal have lost four of their last five Serie A (SA) outings, with three of the defeats seeing them lose both halves ‘to-nil’. Furthermore, they have recovered just three points (from a possible 27) across the last nine league games to see them concede first. Andrea Petagna has scored Spal’s first goal on the day in each of his team’s two SA home wins this term. On a brighter note, Spal have won two of their last three SA home games, while conceding just once from open play across that trio. On the flipside, they have let in an average of 1.0 penalty goals per-match in that sequence.

Two of Spal’s last three SA home games saw them concede from the spot inside the first 20 minutes. Admirably, their last two SA away defeats saw them draw level after conceding the first two (or more!) match goals. Napoli’s last three SA away wins have seen their hosts on the day score from the penalty spot. Both of those defeats also saw Napoli lose the first half 2-0, conceding the first two goals within under five minutes of each other.

Napoli’s last SA away game (0-0) was an anomaly, as the four preceding that (W2, L2) each produced over 4.5 total match goals. Curiously, both wins saw Lorenzo Insigne net Napoli’s second goal on the day, doing so via the penalty spot inside the final five minutes of the first half! Napoli’s penalty master Lorenzo Insigne has also scored the decisive goal in both of the Neapolitans’ SA away wins this season – and in midweek at Salzburg! Overall, home and away, Napoli have lost just one of their last nine competitive matches (W6, D2, L1). Four of the last five wins in that sequence saw the Neapolitan outfit score exactly twice in at least one half.

Match Info and Live Scores.

Pre-match League Table.