Spain vs Germany – Prediction (UEFA Nations League – 17.11.2020)

H2H: Spain v Germany – Comparison.

Mikel Oyarzabal scored inside the opening 15 minutes of Spain’s last UNL home game (W 1-0). German midfielder Leon Goretzka scored the winner away to Ukraine last month, maintaining his 100% win rate from competitive goalscoring international appearances. Just two halves of 12 played across UEFA-sanctioned competitive H2Hs have produced over 1.5 goals, while six (50%) have produced exactly one.

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Spain Insights.

After two straight UEFA Nations League (UNL) home wins, Spain’s competitive ten-game home form against sides currently in UNL League A or B reads impressively: W9, L1. Their average margin of victory across the wins was 2.89 goals, and eight of those nine victories saw Spain score first inside the opening half-hour. The Spanish cannot be relegated, but must win to leapfrog Germany at the last hurdle. Across all venues, Spain have attained six wins over opposition currently in UNL League A since the end of the 2018 FIFA World Cup, of which four produced over 2.5 total goals. Five of the eight halves across that quartet produced exactly three match goals.

Germany Insights.

Germany need only a draw to proceed to the UNL finals, and indeed, they have drawn half of their last eight matches played against teams currently in FIFA’s top-15 (W1, D4, L3). That has contributed to Germany’s current 12-game unbeaten run (W7, D5), within which the last four draws each saw them concede Goal 2 in the overall order. Away from home, Germany are without defeat in six (W5, D1), scoring first in every game within that sequence. Their 2-1 victory against Ukraine in October marked their first away win in UNL action (W1, D1, L2), with the Germans now specifically winning the first half by a 1-0 scoreline in their last three UNL away games.

Match Info and Live Scores.

Competition: EUROPE: UEFA Nations League.
Kick off: 17.11.2020, 19:45 UTC.
Venue: Estadio de La Cartuja (Sevilla).

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