Southampton vs. Chelsea – Score prediction (06.10.2019)


Southampton have won only two of their last 20 Premier League meetings with Chelsea (W2 D6 L12) and are winless in the last seven (W0 D1 L6). Chelsea have scored at least once in each of their last 15 away games against Southampton in all competitions (33 goals in total), last failing to find the net in a 0-1 loss in December 1997. Southampton have won just one point at home in the Premier League so far this season, compared to six away from home – the smallest proportion of home points won so far this term (14%). Chelsea have won nine of their 12 away visits to St. Mary’s Stadium against Southampton in all competitions (W9 D2 L1), including each of the last four in a row. Southampton have found the net in each of their last 17 home Premier League games, last having a longer run in the top-flight between April 1980-December 1981 (31 games). However, Saints have only kept one clean sheet in the current run of 17.

Match Info.

Competition: ENGLAND: Premier League – Round 8
Kick off: 06.10.2019, 13:00 UTC.
Venue: St. Mary’s Stadium (Southampton).
Referee: Tierney P. (Eng).

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Teams Comparison.

Southampton’s roller coaster ride in the Premier League (PL) has already fetched them four losses in seven. Two of those have come at home (D1), and worryingly, Southampton have just three clean sheets from 22 PL home games since the start of last season, and none this year. However Southampton have managed to score in each of their last 17 PL home fixtures – albeit keeping just one clean sheet in the process. Regardless, each of their six PL results this season (wins/losses) was won by the side that scored the opening goal.
Chelsea have recovered from a horror start to the PL season at Old Trafford, stitching together a W3, D2, L1 run. Each of their three PL away games this season have produced over 3.5 total goals, with the ‘Blues’ winning the last two matches in that sequence – scoring eight combined, whilst conceding twice both times. That is on expected lines, as Chelsea have already conceded 27 PL away goals this calendar year, with only Watford conceding more (33). Intriguingly, even in such high scoring games the first-scorer advantage holds strong – all five winners in Chelsea’s PL games this season have opened the scoring. Furthermore, a majority of those opening goals (three) have arrived within the first 20 minutes.

Quick Facts.

  • Tammy Abraham has seven PL goals this season, giving or extending Chelsea’s lead every time.
  • Five of Danny Ings’ six Southampton goals in the PL have come against last season’s top six, including two this campaign.
  • Three of Southampton’s seven PL games were goalless at the break.
  • Chelsea have won their last four PL H2H visits here, with every game witnessing exactly one first-half goal.
  • Southampton are yet to score a PL goal in the first 30 minutes of play this season.
  • Pre-match League Table.


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