Rafael Nadal vs. Dominic Thiem – Prediction – ATP London (UK) 17.11.2020

H2H: Rafael Nadal v Dominic Thiem – comparison.

These two players have met each other 14 times on the main tour over the last six years, but this is the first time they will fight it out on indoor hard courts. Dominic Thiem has proved to be one of the toughest opponents for Rafael Nadal in recent years, having beaten the Spaniard five times, and impressively, four of those wins have come on clay. Though Rafael Nadal is relatively less dangerous on indoor hard courts, he still remains a tough player to overcome for non-big-three opponents and will head into this clash as the slight favorite.

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Rafael Nadal kickstarted his tenth ATP Tour Finals campaign with a routine straight-set win over Andrey Rublev on Sunday. The Spaniard won over 80% of his first-serve points, created five breakpoint chances on the Russian’s serve, and did not face a breakpoint on his serve in the entire match, 6-3 6-4. It was an impressive performance from world #2 Rafael Nadal especially considering Andrey Rublev’s terrific form on indoor hard courts over the last few weeks. Moreover, the Spaniard had played only four matches on the surface this year before entering the ATP Tour Finals.

Winning the tough opening match against Andrey Rublev has put Rafael Nadal in a great spot to qualify for the semifinals of ATP Tour Finals for the first time since 2015. He did well here last year to defeat a couple of in-form opponents in Daniil Medvedev and Stefanos Tsitsipas but losing the opening match to Alexander Zverev in straight sets cost him a place in the next round. In a rematch of last year’s ATP Tour Finals, Dominic Thiem got the better of the defending champion Stefanos Tsitsipas in three sets. It was an evenly contested match, and the Austrian fighting back from a 1-4 deficit in the first set tiebreaker proved to be decisive in the end, 7-6 4-6 6-3.

“It’s a very positive start for me. I feel sorry for Rublev, but I wish him all the best for the rest of the tournament. He had an amazing season even in difficult circumstances, he was able to win a lot of titles. So this is an important victory for me,” said Rafael Nadal after the solid win.

Dominic Thiem has competed in ATP Tour Finals four times before, and the last and only time he managed to win his opening match was in 2019 when he defeated Roger Federer in straight sets and followed it up with an impressive three-set comeback win over Novak Djokovic in his second match. The Austrian #1 Dominic Thiem took a lot of pressure off him by lifting the biggest title of his career in the US Open a couple of months ago. However, his performance since then hasn’t been entirely convincing, and it will be interesting to see if he manages to avoid his fourth group stage exit from the ATP Tour Finals in five appearances.

“I feel better than last year, that’s for sure, but the bubble life can be exhausting, too. Physically, this has been the easiest for a long time, but mentally you get so much energy from the crowd. All of this is missing, and you have to bring it all yourself. That’s exhausting,” said Dominic Thiem.

Match Info.

Competition: ATP – SINGLES: Finals – London (World), hard (indoor)
Start: 17.11.2020, 14:00 UTC.

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Rafael Nadal

Dominic Thiem





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