Poland vs. Bosnia & Herzegovina – Prediction (UEFA Nations League – 14.10.2020)

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Poland’s Robert Lewandowski has scored more goals than any other player in the top-five European leagues since the start of 2019/20 (60 in all competitions at club level). Talismanic Bosnian Edin Džeko averages 0.53 goals per international match, and comfortably leads the all-time scoring charts with 59 strikes, though he’s yet to score vs Poland. Six of Bosnia’s last 12 games vs UEFA opposition ranked within ten places of Poland featured a goalless first half (HT: W2, D7, L3).

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Team Poland.

Following a goalless draw with group leaders Italy last time out, Poland’s only UEFA Nations League (UNL) victory to date (W1, D3, L3) has actually come against Bosnia & Herzegovina. However, the hosts have been impressive of late, winning six of their last eight games (W6, D1, L1), including a comeback win in one of the two matches in which they conceded first. Poland’s (FIFA rank: #19) record vs sides ranked within ten places of Bosnia (#50) since EURO 2016 qualifying stands at: W5, D3, L2. Interestingly, these games were often goal-fuelled affairs, with six seeing both teams score and over 2.5 goals. In fact across those ten fixtures, there was an average of 3.4 goals per game.

Team Bosnia & Herzegovina.

After winning their opening three UNL games in the last campaign, Bosnia have failed to win each of the following four to this point (D3, L1), an indicator of the increased calibre of opposition they’ve faced in League A. The visitors have struggled recently, winning just four games since the start of 2019 (W4, D4, L6), with ten of those games producing over 2.5 goals and 64.29% witnessing both teams score. Bosnia’s record vs similarly-ranked UEFA nations to Poland (#12 to #27) since Euro 2016 qualifying also stands at a rather underwhelming: W3, D6, L3. These games were largely tame affairs, with an average of just 1.83 goals per fixture.

Match Info.