Paderborn vs. Mainz – Score prediction (05.10.2019)

Overview.

This will be the fifth competitive meeting between SC Paderborn and 1. FSV Mainz 05. The two sides faced each other twice in the Bundesliga in 2014/15, and twice in BL2 in 2007/08. Paderborn have only suffered a bigger defeat in the Bundesliga to Bayern (6-0) than they have against Mainz (5-0 away in January 2015). It was Mainz’s joint-highest Bundesliga victory (also 2x 5-0 wins against Freiburg). Paderborn have never won against Mainz, drawing twice at home and losing twice away. MD7 will also see the two weakest defences in the BL this season face off, with Paderborn having conceded 17 goals to Mainz’s 16. Paderborn have lost each of their first three Bundesliga home games this season and are the only team along with fellow promoted side Köln still without a home point. SCP last managed to win a BL point at home in April 2015 (2-2 vs. Bremen). Paderborn remain without a win this season and are bottom of the league after picking up just one point (1-1 draw with Wolfsburg on MD3). No newly-promoted Bundesliga side has ever had a lower tally at this stage in the season (most recently Braunschweig in 2013/14 with 1 point).

Match Info.

Competition: GERMANY Bundesliga – Round 7
Kick off: 05.10.2019, 13:30 UTC.
Venue: Benteler Arena (Paderborn).
Referee: Ittrich P. (Ger).

Teams Comparison.

Despite a spirited display that saw Paderborn net two second-half goals against Bayern Munich, the rock-bottom Bundesliga newcomers still fell to defeat (2-3) last time out, marking a sixth consecutive winless game in the top flight (D1, L5), despite both teams scoring in all six games. With the opener being scored within 15 minutes in all of those Bundesliga matches, expect a lively start here, although there’s also been five goals netted after the 75th minute across Paderborn’s three top-flight home games, so this fixture could produce action from start to finish.

Mainz haven’t fared much better this season, with a lone win sandwiched between five defeats. However, the visitors have seen their last three games decided by a slim one-goal margin (W1, L2), but they do travel here after losing all three Bundesliga away games so far, two by at least a three-goal margin. Without a doubt, the visitors’ main problem has been a lack of defensive concentration as both halves come to a close, with nine of the 11 goals Mainz have conceded on the road this season being shipped in the 15 minutes before the end of each half. However, that’s also been a fruitful time for them over the last two H2Hs versus Paderborn, with Mainz netting four goals themselves over that period.

Quick Facts.

Pre-match League Table.