H2H: Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid – Prediction (La Liga

H2H: Osasuna vs Atlético Madrid – Comparison.

Rubén García netted from the spot in Osasuna’s win vs Athletic Bilbao. Both of his prior goals this term have arrived between the 76th-90th+ minutes of play. Atlético’s João Félix was also at the double in midweek vs Salzburg. Two of his three prior LL away goals have each made the scoreline 2-0 at the time scored in their respective games. Osasuna have taken just one point from their previous six LL home games vs last season’s top three (D1, L5) being outscored exactly 5:1 therein (GF 4, GA 20). However, none of those ‘goals against’ came inside the opening 20 minutes.

Osasuna Insights.

Osasuna host Atlético Madrid after three successive clean sheets (W2, D1), averaging 1.0 goals per match, and with either a goal or an opposition red card coming between the 76th minute and FT. Further to that sense of consistency, a 1-0 win vs Athletic Bilbao in the third game means that Osasuna have seen each of their last 22 La Liga (LL) victories produce a one or two-goal margin. Last season’s corresponding H2H took place in June, with Osasuna’s 5-0 defeat sparked by the ever-dangerous João Félix’s double. That match contributed the most to an average of 3.80 goals conceded across their last five home league defeats, and their average losing margin across the last four H2Hs overall is not far behind, at 3.25 goals.

Atlético Madrid Insights.

Atlético Madrid have mimicked Osasuna somewhat lately, averaging exactly 1.0 goal per match across their last four LL outings (W2, D2), while scoring late (beyond the 89th minute) in both wins. In relation to that, they have averaged 2.0 goals beyond the hour mark across their last three league victories. Across all of their league wins attained so far this season, the ‘Rojiblancos’ have won the second half by an average margin of 2.33 goals. They are expected to win again here, but Atlético have notably drawn exactly 50% of their LL away matches entered as favourites (W7, D9, L2) since the start of 2019/20.