H2H: Nottingham vs. Derby – Prediction (Championship

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Nottingham Forest are looking to win three consecutive games against Derby in all competitions for the first time since January 1990 under Brian Clough.

Five points off top spot, Nottingham Forest averted a potential three-game losing streak with a 2-1 win at Luton last time out. Whilst Forest’s last two games produced over 2.5 goals, just six of their Championship matches this season have ended with over 2.5 goals, giving them the division’s fifth-lowest total goals per game average (2.29). Six-goal Lewis Grabban (NOT) was first goalscorer last time out and has three career goals against Derby (D5, L3). The hosts fell to a 2-1 defeat last time out here, and four of their six Championship home matches have now been settled by a one-goal margin. In addition, Forest’s last four league matches at all venues were decided by one goal.

Forest have led at half-time in just three of their 15 Championship matches (DER: six). Forest have scored five goals in the 46th-60th minute (5:2) – Derby have conceded four goals during this period (1:4). Derby have lost three of four league matches where they’ve trailed at half-time (D1); Forest have lost three of five matches in this fashion (D2).

Winning and losing every other game since their matchday 11 home win over Luton (W3, L2), Derby County’s last five games have seen the victors on the day win ‘to nil’ – notably, these teams’ last five H2Hs have also failed to see both teams score. Five-goal Tom Lawrence (DER) scored a brace last time out and has five cautions; he also has two career cautions against Forest. Yet without a win in six awaydays, the ‘Rams’ have the worst away form over five Championship trips and have scored just three away goals since matchday three (3:11). Losing three of their five awaydays wherein their opponent scored first (D2), Derby haven’t won here in seven competitive H2Hs, scoring just three goals across this period (3:9).