H2H: Nantes vs Paris Saint-Germain – Prediction (Ligue 1

H2H: Nantes vs PSG – Comparison.

Nantes’ Moses Simon scored a consolation in last season’s corresponding fixture (L 1-2). Six of his last eight strikes have been registered during matches producing over 4.5 total goals. Everton loanee Moise Kean (PSG) has hit a double in each of his last two competitive games, with goals separated by less than 25 minutes each time. Additionally, in a sequence spanning three different European leagues, four of Kean’s last five goals scored in a top-flight fixture have come inside the opening 30 minutes of play. All but one of Nantes’ last 24 top-flight home fixtures have either yielded a one-goal margin or ended level.

Nantes Insights.

Nantes have won just two of their last eight Ligue 1 (L1) matches played on home turf, despite keeping a first-half clean sheet on six occasions. However, their L1 home form this season is better (W2, D1), with the ‘Canaries’ leading 2-0 after 30 minutes (and at the break) before conceding Goal 3 in the second half – in both victories. Despite this upturn in home form, Nantes ended 2019/20 as the only team to take no points from 3+ home league matches entered as betting outsiders. With the expectation of defeat given their outsiders status here, it is worth noting that five of their last eight L1 home losses have seen the decisive goal arrive between the 46th-75th minute of play.

PSG Insights.

PSG are currently on six consecutive league victories, across which they have netted an average of 1.67 goals beyond the hour mark. However, three of PSG’s four away league matches this term (W3, L1) have failed to feature a goal after the 70th minute. Additionally, PSG have only conceded before HT in one of their last nine away league matches. The visitors’ record in L1 H2Hs at Nantes is near-perfect in recent years, with seven wins and one loss from their last eight league trips there. PSG recorded a steady average second-half winning margin of 1.0 across those seven victories, while five (HT: W4, L1) of those seven victories produced a 1-0 HT scoreline.