Molde v Arsenal London – Prediction (Europa League – 26.11.2020)

H2H: Molde v Arsenal – Comparison.

Opening scorer vs Arsenal on MD3, Martin Ellingsen has seen five of his last six competitive goals come between the 70th minute and FT. Arsenal’s Joe Willock boasts a 100% win rate from five prior goalscoring appearances in the UEL proper (1.00 per match). Three (60%) of those goals gave his club a three-goal lead at the time. Arsenal have conceded just once inside the opening half-hour of play across their last 18 UEL away matches – excluding neutral venues.

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Molde Insights.

Molde went down 4-1 to Arsenal on matchday three (MD3), though it was two own-goals that proved their undoing. Following that defeat, Molde have conceded an average of 2.0 goals per match beyond the hour mark across their last three UEFA Europa League (UEL) group stage losses. Including qualifiers, each of Molde’s last six UEL defeats have witnessed over 2.5 total goals. Curiously though, four of those losses saw Molde score first, and avoid a HT deficit (W1, D3), conceding the equaliser between the 31st minute and HT in each of the three first halves drawn. In contradiction, however, five of Molde’s last six UEL home matches drawn/lost have produced under 2.5 total goals (D3, L3) – this includes qualifiers. They conceded once beyond the 80th minute in each of the defeats, losing the second half to-nil each time.

Arsenal Insights.

Arsenal may be favourites, but patience could be needed, as none of their last eight UEL fixtures (W4, D2, L2) have seen them score earlier than the 42nd minute. Furthermore, four of the Gunners’ last five UEL wins have seen them score the decider beyond the hour mark. Excluding matches played on neutral turf, Arsenal are unbeaten across their last seven UEL away games (W5, D2). Three of the five victories saw them keep a clean sheet, and score exclusively within the final 15 minutes of regular time in either half.

Match Info and Live Scores.

Competition: EUROPE: Europa League.
Kick off: 26.11.2020, 17:55 UTC.
Venue: Aker Stadion (Molde).

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