H2H: Millwall vs Nottingham - Prediction (Championship

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Losers at The Den just once this season (W5, D3), Millwall are unbeaten in five home games, scoring exactly two goals in each match within that run. Impressively, Millwall have led at the break in five of nine league games here (going on to win all five), while also losing just one of three matches wherein their opponents have scored first. However, Millwall have also conceded five home goals in the 46th-60th minute period this season (GF 1, GA 5). This has contributed to the fact that Millwall’s last five home games have each seen goals in both halves.

The fifth-best team over ten matchdays (W5, D2, L3), visitors Nottingham Forest broke a four-game unbeaten streak with a 1-0 loss last time out. But in owning the second-lowest average goals per-game so far (2.11), Forest’s matches are generally expected to produce few goals. A 4-0 win at QPR (Nov 27) awarded Forest their fourth Championship awayday to finish with over 2.5 goals scored. Winning all four away matches after scoring first, Sabri Lamouchi’s men have only trailed at half-time in two away matches so far, and have proven most dangerous inside the closing 15 minutes (+injury time) of away games this season (GF 6, GA 3).

Players to watch: Millwall’s five-goal Matt Smith has two goals from his last four appearances, along with two career goals against Forest. Both H2H goals, naturally, came by way of his head. Forest’s Lewis Grabban has three league goals from his last five appearances. With two H2H career goals, Grabban has eight goals so far scoring two goals in four awaydays.

Stat attack: Overall, Millwall’s Championship matches have thus far produced 2.53 goals per-game on average. Forest’s last six league matches have produced 19 cautions and three dismissals (total). Five of these teams’ last seven H2H meetings have produced under 2.5 goals.