Midtjylland vs Ajax Amsterdam – Prediction (Champions League – 3.11.2020)

H2H: Midtjylland v Ajax – Comparison.

Anders Dreyer was a scorer beyond the hour mark in both of Midtjylland’s UCL qualification phase home wins. Meanwhile, Dutch winger Quincy Promes has scored Goal 2 in both of Ajax’s last two UCL away wins. Including qualifiers, Ajax have never conceded the lead (once taken) in any of their last ten UCL away wins, last doing so back in August 2006!

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Midtjylland Insights.

Midtjylland have looked like traditional ‘pot 4’ cannon fodder, averaging 3.00 unanswered goals across their first two UEFA Champions League (UCL) group stage games. The hosts’ last UCL home game was disastrous (L 0-4), with that losing margin significantly above the average seen across every home defeat sustained by a pot 4 team in last season’s UCL group stage (2.13). That said, Midtjylland have kept both previous UCL group stage opponents down to under 1.5 second-half goals from open play. The Danes also recently became the first visiting team in Liverpool’s last 51 competitive home matches (at the time) to avoid conceding a first-half shot on target, back on matchday two.

Ajax Insights.

Ajax conceded a 2-0 HT lead on matchday two (D 2-2), and have thus won just one of their last six UCL games (W1, D2, L3). Nonetheless, it continued their propensity to start well in this competition, with all of the games won/drawn in that sequence seeing Ajax win the first half, and do so by an average margin of 1.67 goals. All of those three games mentioned above came on the road. Impressively, Ajax are (including qualifiers) unbeaten in 16 UCL away games (W7, D9). Four of the last five wins in that sequence saw Ajax lead at HT, while each of the last three wins therein saw Ajax open the scoring inside the first 15 minutes.

Match Info and Live Scores.