H2H: Marseille vs. Lille – Prediction (Ligue 1

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Marseille’s 4-0 loss versus PSG means they’ve won just one of their last six Ligue 1 (L1) games (W1, D3, L2), and have seen their previous four L1 defeats arrive by at least a two-goal margin. However, at home they are unbeaten in their last four league matches (W2, D2), with all four seeing under 2.5 goals but witnessing one goal before half-time. Darío Benedetto has scored in five L1 games this term – he was Marseille’s first goalscorer in three. Furthermore, the hosts have failed to score more than two goals in any of their last 20 L1 home games, but did secure ten clean sheets over that time. A clean sheet would likely accompany any Marseille win here too, considering nine of their last ten L1 home victories were ‘to nil’.

There’s been four penalties and two red cards across Lille’s five L1 away fixtures. The opener has been scored by the 20th minute in Marseille’s last three L1 home games. There’s been four penalties across the last three H2Hs.

A 3-0 win over Bordeaux last time out ended Lille’s five-game winless streak (D3, L2 – in all competitions), although they’re currently on a nine-game winless run on the road in L1 (D5, L4). Both teams have scored in the last three of those games, albeit two were goalless at half-time. Loïc Rémy (LIL) netted last time out – two of his three league goals arrived after the 60th minute. Both teams have also scored in four of the last five H2Hs held here, with Lille winning just once, although that was the last such meeting (W1, D1, L3). Another win here will hinge on the visitors improving their second-half performances – Lille have conceded six of their seven L1 away goals after half-time, with four arriving within the 61st-75th minute period.