Manchester United vs RB Leipzig – Prediction (Champions League – 28.10.2020)

H2H: Man Utd v Leipzig – Comparison.

United striker Marcus Rashford has scored the final goal (beyond the hour mark) in every one of his six prior goalscoring UCL appearances (W5, L1). Leipzig’s Angeliño smashed a quickfire first-half double (16’, 20’) on UCL matchday one. Both of his prior Bundesliga strikes this season have come via his head. United have lost just one of their last 11 UCL home games played in the month of October (W8, D2, L1 – GF 17, GA 3). Just one game saw both teams score, while United conceded only inside the 1st-20th minute across that sequence.

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Manchester United Insights.

Manchester United have won just one (D1, L4) of their last six UCL home games. However, United’s UCL group stage home record against teams drawn from pot 3 or 4 since Sir Alex Ferguson’s departure in summer 2013 reads: W7, D1. That includes five clean sheets, three 1-0 wins and an average of 2.25 total match goals. Excluding matches against sides representing the former East Germany at the time, United’s all-time competitive record vs German opposition reads: W15, D8, L8 – GF 60, GA 36. Furthermore, the ‘Red Devils’ have won seven (D1) of their last eight UCL home games vs German teams. Three of the last four wins produced over 4.5 total goals.

Leipzig Insights.

RB Leipzig have lost just one of their previous nine assignments in this competition (W6, D2, L1). Leipzig scored an average of 1.5 penalty goals per match across the two draws, but conceded one in their last UCL match against a team originally drawn from pot 2. Excluding results at neutral venues, Leipzig’s UCL away record reads: W4, D1, L2, with the last of those wins coming against English opposition via a second-half penalty. Each of the three matches drawn/lost in that sequence saw one team lead 1-0 after 15 minutes of play, with Leipzig averaging 1.33 second-half goals conceded across that trio.

Match Info and Live Scores.

Competition: EUROPE: Champions League.
Kick off: 28.10.2020 20.00 UTC.
Venue: Old Trafford (Manchester).

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