Lithuania vs. Serbia – Score prediction (14.10.2019)

Overview.

Yet to win a game this qualifying campaign (ECQ), Lithuania (D1, L5 – FIFA rank: #131) have scored just twice in the last 376 minutes of football, whilst conceding an average of 3.5 goals per fixture across their last four matches. Notably, Lithuania have conceded the opening goal within 30 minutes in each of their last five ECQs. The problem is not a recent one for the hosts – Lithuania have not won a competitive match since a 2-0 victory over #179 ranked Malta in 2016 (D3, L18). Notably, 13 of the 18 aforementioned defeats saw a margin of at least two goals, whilst nine saw at least a three-goal margin.

For the visitors this is a must win game in order to remain in top-two contention, and Serbia boss Ljubiša Tumbaković will feel confident after seeing his side score at least twice before half-time in both of his managerial H2Hs with Lithuania (6-1 aggregate score). Whilst Serbia have lost both of their games against the top-two this ECQ campaign, the visitors have won their last eight competitive matches vs sub-90 ranked nations by FIFA. Moreover, Serbia scored at least three goals in six of those eight victories, though they did concede in half of those eight games, twice vs Lithuania.

Match Info.

Competition: EUROPE: Euro – Qualification – Round 8
Kick off: 14.10.2019, 18:45 UTC.
Venue: LFF stadionas (Vilnius).
Referee: TBD.


How much can you win if you bet $1.00

Lithuania

X

Serbia

WIN

Draw

WIN

$17.00

$9.00

$1.16

Quick Facts.

  • Aleksandar Mitrović has scored three goals for Serbia in two meetings with Lithuania since 2018 – he has scored six goals across his last four international appearances.
  • Arvydas Novikovas has scored half of Lithuania’s paltry four-goal haul – he’s also been booked in two of his last three international appearances.
  • Lithuania’s last ten defeats saw them concede at least twice.
  • Each of Serbia’s last four ECQ games produced over 3.5 match goals (5.0 per match average).
  • Serbia have won at both HT/FT in five of the last seven H2Hs.
  • Pre-match League Table.




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