H2H: Lecce vs. Juventus Torino – Prediction (26.10.2019)

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Juventus have lost only two of their 17 encounters against Lecce in Serie A in the 21st century (W10 D5). Juventus have won 22 points from their opening eight Serie A games for the fourth time in the three points for a win era (excluding 2004/05 and 2005/06 campaigns) – on the previous three occasions, they have gone on to win the title (2012/13, 2014/15 and 2018/19). Lecce have won three of their 15 home encounters vs Juventus in the top-flight (D3 L9): a 20% home win percentage, their joint-highest amongst sides they have faced 15+ times on home soil in the competition (Roma, AC Milan, Inter and Juventus).

Lecce (W2, D1, L5) probably wish they were playing Juventus away as they have won all seven of their league points this Serie A (SA) campaign on the road. They did surprise heavyweights AC Milan with a 2-2 draw last time out though, as they netted a last-gasp equaliser continuing a trend that’s seen seven of their nine SA goals (77.78%) arrive after half-time. Marco Calderoni scored a late equaliser against AC Milan last time out. Both his goals for Lecce this season arrived after half-time. At home, the ‘Giallorossi’ have conceded six SA goals this term (L3), with four being shipped in the second half. Notably, they’ve scored just one home goal in response (a penalty). A key to any success here could be scoring first though, as the seven Leece fixtures this SA season that didn’t end in a draw saw the team that opened the scoring take all three points.

Lecce have scored three of their previous four SA goals beyond the 70th minute. There’s been 17 yellow cards shown across Lecce’s three SA home fixtures so far (5.67 per game).Juventus have conceded their last five competitive goals during the first half.

Juventus beat Lokomotiv Moscow 2-1 in the Champions League midweek, giving them a seventh consecutive win in all competitions. The ‘Bianconeri’ scored exactly two goals in six of those victories, with five finishing with a 2-1 scoreline. Paulo Dybala’s second-half brace gave Juventus victory midweek – four of his last five competitive goals have arrived after the break. Domestically, Juventus have won their last five SA fixtures, scoring exactly two goals each time and netting in every half of football played. However, this game may not be as one sided as some might expect, as five of Juventus’ last six away league wins were decided by a single-goal margin.