H2H: Genoa vs Torino - Prediction (Serie A

H2H: Genoa vs Torino – Comparison.

Gianluca Samacca, at 21 years and 305 days old, became Genoa’s youngest goalscorer in a SA derby vs Sampdoria since Fabio Galante in Dec 1994 with his debut league goal. Andrea Belotti has six goals in Torino’s first five SA games – only the third club player to do so in the first five rounds and the first since 1967/68. Seven of the last eight win/loss SA H2Hs have come via a single-goal margin, with three 1-0 and three 2-1 scorelines.

Genoa Insights.

Winless in Serie A (SA) since matchday one (D2, L2), Genoa will at least be happy to have scored their first league goal in more than 300 minutes of regular action in the last round. Scoring first remains a big indicator, as the teams doing so in Genoa’s SA matches (excluding a goalless draw) remained unbeaten come FT (W3, D1). Brace for early action nonetheless, as three of those aforementioned four opening goals (scored/conceded) arrived before the 30th minute. A 2-0 loss in the previous home fixture extended Genoa’s ‘draw-less’ run at home to 18 SA matches (W7, L11). Incidentally, Genoa’s last six SA home H2Hs followed the same pattern (W3, L3), including three straight losses each by a single-goal margin.

Torino Insights.

Two goals by Lazio in the stoppage-time handed Torino a fourth SA defeat (D1, L4), although three have come via a single-goal margin with a winning goal beyond the 70th minute. Unsurprisingly, 46.67% (seven) of Torino’s 15 SA ‘goals against’ this campaign have arrived beyond the 70th minute. This has played a big role in Torino dropping points in each of the three SA games they scored first (D1, L2), while they also lost both the matches they conceded first. Regardless, goals remain high on the agenda as each of Torino’s last four SA games produced over 4.5 total match goals, while they have conceded goals in both halves on three occasions.