Genoa vs. AC Milan – Score prediction (05.10.2019)

Overview.

AC Milan have won four of their last five Serie A games against Genoa (D1), keeping four clean sheets in the process. They had lost four of their previous five against Rossoblu (W1) in Serie A before this current run. Genoa have won only one of their first six games in this Serie A campaign (D2 L3), conceding 13 goals in the process. Only on two occasions have the Rossoblu conceded more goals in their first six games of a Serie A season, in 1957/58 (16) and in 1939/40 (14). AC Milan have lost four of their first six Serie A matches (W2); only once in their Serie A history have the Rossoneri lost five of their first seven games in a single season (in the 1938/39 under József Bánás). AC Milan and Genoa have drawn only once in their last 12 Serie A meetings at Ferraris, this after registering six consecutive draws previously. Genoa have picked up four points in their first three home Serie A games (W1, D1, L1); they had won their first three home matches in Serie A last season.

Match Info.

Competition: ITALY Serie A – Round 7
Kick off: 05.10.2019, 18:45 UTC.
Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris (Genoa).
Referee: Mariani M. (Ita).


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Genoa

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AC Milan

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Draw

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Teams Comparison.

After a promising start (W1, D1) Genoa have lost three of their last four Serie A (SA) matches (D1), conceding at least twice during the second half in each of those losses. It’ll come as no surprise then to hear that nine of the 13 goals (69.23%) Genoa have conceded this SA season arrived after half-time. Despite registering a first-half clean sheet in the last two home H2Hs, Genoa have lost both after conceding the decisive goal in the final 30 minutes each time. This has also been the case with all four competitive goals Genoa have conceded this season at home (W2, D1, L1).

AC Milan’s only two victories this season have been against newly-promoted sides (both 1-0), and they’re currently on a three-game losing streak after conceding exactly twice after the break in all three losses. In fact nine of the total 12 goals in their matches this season (75%) have been scored during the second half, with eight arriving after the hour mark. In terms of the H2H, Milan have won four of the last five in SA (D1), conceding only once during this run. Even at this venue the visitors have won five of the last eight H2Hs (L3) keeping a clean sheet four times, with the ‘Rossoneri’ netting exactly twice in four of those victories.

Quick Facts.

  • Krzysztof Piątek has scored Milan’s only two SA away goals – both were match-opening penalties.
  • Christian Kouamé scored Genoa’s only game-winning goal this season – all three of his SA goals arrived in the final half-hour.
  • Genoa have scored over 1.5 goals in only three of their last 13 SA home matches.
  • Both teams have scored in only one of last six H2Hs.
  • Milan have scored over 1.5 goals in just one of their last nine SA away fixtures.
  • Pre-match League Table.




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