H2H: Fulham vs Derby - Prediction (Championship

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Back-to-back single-goal margin wins have elevated Fulham (W8, D5, L4) to fourth and now means that each of their last 12 Championship goals have come no later than the 67th minute. Their come-from-behind win last time out was the first league game featuring Fulham this season to see the side that scored first, then go on to lose. Conceding 61.11% of their league goals against at home, Fulham have countered that by scoring 65.38% of their total goals this season here at Craven Cottage. A clear majority of those combined goals have come after the break (67.86%), while only one of their nine home games saw both teams score in the opening period.

Following three wins and two losses in their last five league games, Derby County (W6, D6, L5) rank just above mid-table. Each of their last five league games have featured under 2.5 goals and only seven teams have witnessed less goals per league game than the 2.35 seen in Derby games this campaign. Earning only 25% of their points on their travels, it’s unsurprising that Derby have lost ‘to-nil’ in each of their last three away league matches. Those results have left the ‘Rams’ goalless in 339 minutes of Championship away football. Moreover, Derby have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 11 away league fixtures.

Players to watch: All three of Aboubakar Kamara’s (FUL) goals scored in 2019 have come in games featuring over 2.5 goals. Four of Martyn Waghorn’s goals for Derby this season have been in games that saw both teams score.

Stat attack: None of the last four H2Hs have seen a goal after the 68th minute. Since the beginning of the 2018/19 season, Fulham have won over half of their Championship fixtures when starting as the home favourite (W8, D3, L4). Six (66.67%) of Fulham’s nine home games have seen the half-time result match the full-time one. Derby have scored 26.31% of their goals in the first 15 minutes.