Barcelona vs Dortmund – Prediction (Champions League – 27.11.2019)

Preview and Teams Comparison.

Amidst a long unbeaten run at home in the UEFA Champions League (UCL) (W30, D4), the hosts have recorded four wins in their last five European home games, winning one half by a 2-0 scoreline in each victory. The last three of those wins each saw both goals scored in the half won 2-0 registered by the same player. Barcelona’s UCL matches this term have produced two 2-1 wins and two 0-0 draws. In a curious quirk, both wins saw the away team on the day open the scoring inside the first five minutes. In turn, if excluding goalless draws, Barcelona’s last four UCL matches have seen the opening scorer lead 1-0 at half-time. Luis Suárez hit a second-half double in Barcelona’s last UCL home win.

Stat attack: Five of Barcelona’s last seven UCL home wins have seen them overturn a second-half ‘handicap’ of -1.5 goals. Three of Barcelona’s last four UCL home wins have seen them win the second half precisely by a two-goal margin. Each of Dortmund’s last nine UCL matches won/lost to-nil and by a multi-goal margin have seen the last goal arrive in the 80th-90th+ period.

Optimistically speaking, five of Dortmund’s last seven UCL away wins have produced a clean sheet and a margin of over 1.5 goals. However, any such result is likely to go against them on current evidence, with Dortmund losing by an average ratio of 2:0 across their last three competitive away games (D1, L2). Dortmund are also winless in four UCL group stage away fixtures against an opponent drawn from pot 1 prior (D1, L3). Appropriately, two of those three defeats produced a 2-0 scoreline, with the German giants felled by an average of 2.33 goals conceded across those three losses. Achraf Hakimi hit a second-half double for Dortmund on UCL matchday four.

Match Info and Live Scores.