Azerbaijan vs Montenegro – Prediction (UEFA Nations League – 14.11.2020)

H2H: Azerbaijan v Montenegro – Comparison.

Ramil Sheydaev has been Azerbaijan’s only scorer with his lone UNL strike, which arrived before HT. Meanwhile, Montenegro’s Stefan Mugoša has three UNL goals in five matches, all coming away from home. Montenegro haven’t scored before HT in nine of their 12 UNL matches, including each of their six away games.

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Azerbaijan Insights.

Azerbaijan need a win to stay alive in the UEFA Nations League (UNL) promotion race, but have failed to secure victory in three of their four UNL matches (W1, D1, L2). They even failed to score in the last two – which includes the reverse fixture – so a low-scoring game looks possible, especially as their previous three UNL matches produced under 2.5 goals. Historically, 70% of Azerbaijan’s UNL matches have produced under 2.5 goals, as well as four of their five previous designated UNL home fixtures. However, any hope of a win looks optimistic considering their recent home record – just one win across five UNL games (W1, D3, L1), and one across their last ten competitive fixtures (W1, D4, L5). Notably, every loss during that period saw Azerbaijan concede 2+ goals.

Montenegro Insights.

A 2-1 defeat in the last round halted Montenegro’s three-match winning start to this UNL campaign, all three of which they won ‘to nil’. With those results, at least one side has failed to score in seven of Montenegro’s ten historic UNL matches (W5, D1, L4), with each of those seven featuring under 2.5 goals. Four of their five previous UNL wins have come whilst scoring 2+ goals though, with 2-0 being the final scoreline in three. Montenegro have scored first in all four UNL matches this campaign, although perhaps surprisingly, half of their six goals have arrived beyond the 70th minute. Away from home, Montenegro have won both UNL matches this campaign ‘to nil’, with both opening goals arriving in or after the 60th minute.

Match Info and Live Scores.