H2H: Atlético Madrid vs Getafe – Prediction (La Liga

H2H: Atlético vs Getafe – Comparison.

Saúl has scored in three of Atlético’s last five LL home finales of a calendar year, including a 2-0 win (vs Osasuna) in 2019. Hoping to be a hero himself, Getafe’s Cucho Hernández accounts for his side’s last decisive awayday winner. Five of his last six career goals have come in the first half of play. Each of Atlético’s last five LL home finales to a calendar year have ended in victory after a drawn first half.

Atlético Insights.

Atlético Madrid still lead the way in a tight race, with the Rojiblancos’ win rate of 76.92% from their first 13 league games not far behind that of the title-winning 2013/14 campaign (84.62%). Impressively, they have been beaten just once in their last 29 league outings (W19, D9, L1), winning by a two-goal margin in seven of the last 11 wins therein. The hosts have also won the second half and scored exactly twice beyond the interval in four of the five straight LL home wins that precede this clash. They form the tail end of Atlético’s current 41-game unbeaten LL home run against teams from outside the consistent top three of 2012/13-present (W32, D9). Their average winning margin across the last five wins in that run is 3.00 – up drastically from 1.56 across the first 27.

Getafe Insights.

Though victorious against Cádiz in their last LL away trip, Getafe have still failed to get on the scoresheet in eight of their last ten LL away games. Eight of their last nine away league defeats have produced an odd-numbered margin, with one half being specifically won/lost 1-0 in each of the eight applicable losses. Getafe’s history in LL away H2Hs vs Atlético suggests further misery, with the ‘Azulones’ failing to score and losing after trailing at HT (average HT margin: 1.44 goals) in each of their last nine such clashes in succession.